The end of the Republican Party

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The GOP's fearless leaders, "la naranja y la tortuga"
tpmmuckraker.com

Everyone knows and loves the expression "out of the mouths of babes", but I doubt that's the reaction this poll got in the halls of Republican power. Apparently (and not surprisingly) younger Americans of all stripes don't like the GOP.

Before you sputter away with "another lib poll", this one comes to us from the Winston Group and the College National Republican Committee. Despite attempts at rebranding and spiffy stabs into high tech, the general consensus among Millenials is that Republicans are generally "closed minded, rigid, racist and old fashioned." In related news, water is wet, the Bay Area is foggy and Justin Bieber's career longevity is unlikely.

As marketers and businessmen of any political ilk will tell you, if you don't get the young to buy what you're selling, attrition is gonna wipe out your sales. As political analysts will also tell you, voting patterns are set young and when voters vote three straight elections a certain way, they tend to ossify.

The Republican Party is in a major league bind. Having relied on the "Southern Strategy" of racial resentment since 1964 when it made numerical sense (that is, not many minority voters) and now having to change and fast (30% of the electorate will be non-white in 2016), what can they do? Race is their glue. But as a twenty something today has spent most of their life among all kinds of people and is no longer isolated, racism's zing is ineffective.

And on economic issues, they do just as badly. The poll tells us that younger voters are far more savvy and realistic than the "I know I'm gonna win the lottery" jackalopes whose sinuses seem glued to Fox 24/7. Poll says that they realize that unless they become wealthy or end up at the top of a big business does the GOP care about them. Which means they are astute enough to realize that not only are the odds against them, but they're stacked in favor of the scions of inherited wealth. 

That these people are all under 30 and are savvy enough to grasp what their supposedly wiser elders refuse to believe tells me that what I have believed for over 20 years about the Right is plainly obvious--economic conservatism and belief in the pseudo "free market" sense is really tied to the idea of privilege. In the "natural order of things". But if you're on the outside looking in and know it, playing to this sentiment is a loser--which means that the supposedly naive kids are a lot more intuitive than their parents.

Put plainly and simply, it's impossible to persuade someone that the mythical 50's were better than now, if the person and question has no connection to that era, save a few minutes of Weezer's famous Happy Days spoof. The invocation of "good old days" only reminds kids that their inflexible, narrow-minded reactionary elders aren't living in the here and now. Not a winning strategy ever for anyone.

Comments

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 10:03 am

What causes people to check out of the "here and now?" It is comfort? Indifference? Contempt?

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 10:05 am

Then his quasi-socialistic ObamaCare almost overnight drove the Tea Party from nothing to heavy-weights and, just two years later in 2010, the GOP walked the House and almost won the Senate as well, neutralizing Obama's worst excesses.

So yes, JAW, please, please write off the GOP again.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 10:06 am

The Tea-baggers were only in power for a brief period before they fell from grace because they couldn't adapt to a rapidly changing and increasingly diverse America. Face it, the "pray the gay away" party has gone the way of Dino the Dinosaur. Their major accomplishment was taking the GOP down with them as a result of their rigid, inflexible and extreme agenda. But you keep talking in an effort to convince yourself that it ain't so. I love it when you shoot yourselves in the foot.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 10:55 am

First, they neutralized the worst aspects of ObamaCare and ensured that the dreaded "public option" was nixed, by pressuring Congressmen to vote it down.

Second, they won back the House for the GOP, thereby ensuring the continuation of the Bush tax cuts and the continued focus on spending cuts.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 11:04 am

for lighting the match on the Hindenburg. Yes, thanks for screwing up the Affordable Health Care Act. Despite bagger mucking, it passed and is less effective than it should have been. You mean the "temporary" Bush tax cuts that prevented us from paying for the two wars we entered into?

Posted by Cybesq on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 1:04 pm

The people of this nation "screwed it up" because they didn't want it.

The Bush tax cuts were wildly popular and everyone gained something for it. Given that Obama made them permanent, it seems that that debate is now thankfully over.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 1:37 pm

HAHAHAHA...wildly popular until the economy went in the shitter. Yeah, we sure all gained something, emptied pensions, 401K's, unemployment. When will you baggers learn? Reagan made everyone happy too until a responsible President had to step in and clean up the mess he made by putting everything on credit. Conservatives LOVE to whine about tax and spend but somehow they always fall asleep at the switch during their borrow and spend administrations.

Posted by Cybesq on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:03 pm

all-time high at the moment.

Unless of course you went into a panic and sold everything at the bottom, but nobody can save you from stuff like that.

Anyway, the people have spoken.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:11 pm

It's not "at an all time high" anymore.

Posted by Lucretia Snapples on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:56 pm

But still 13% up for the year and 145% higher than the 2009 lows.

So whining that everyone's 401K is ruined is pure hyperbole.

Anyway, market declines are why God invented put options.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 5:02 pm

Tell that to the people who lost entire life savings and pensions (they had no control over) as a result of the brilliant economic policies of the Bush administration. Not pure hyperbole. Fact.

Posted by Cybesq on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 5:43 pm

"entire life savings and pensions". And I suspect that you do not either.

All that happened is that the market went down and then it went back up.

You do not know what you are talking about.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 7:28 pm

You realize that Bill Clinton was perhaps the most conservative president of the last 50 years? He cut capital gains, reformed welfare, expanded the federal death penalty and repealed glass-steagal.

Posted by bobloblaw on Apr. 25, 2014 @ 5:25 pm

Don't hold your breathe.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 10:12 am

The next group of 50 year olds will not be as stupid, narrow-minded and lacking in vision as the average GOP voter today. "Life is short, disappointment long."

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 11:08 am

That talking point has been around in some form since at least the 70's.

Posted by matlock on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:27 pm

long-haired pot-smoking hippies in the 1960's and 1970's.

Like me, for instance.

Posted by Anonymous on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:51 pm

When you're young, you have nothing so you want to take from those who have something, i.e. the older.

When you're older, there's always a spotty kid somewhere who wants something for nothing.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:53 pm

Great stuff once again, Johnny Angel!

"jackalopes whose sinuses seem glued to Fox 24/7."

Love it. Shakespearean even.

Posted by Samuel on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 11:07 am

either Hamlet, the melancholic Dane. Or the self-absorbed and totally insane King Lear.

Take your pick.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 11:13 am

with the rise and fall of political parties. Some remain but change their character, we saw this more than once with the Democratic Party and to a degree with the Republican Party. And other parties simply disappear like the Whigs and the Federalists. While I can't say for certain that the GOP will join the Whigs, what I am seeing somewhat mirrors their cousins up north in Canada. Back in the 1990s, the Progressive Conservatives imploded and the country saw the conservative vote split between the newly formed Canadian Alliance which held power in Western Canada and the shell of the former PC in Atlantic & Central Canada. This situation allowed the Liberal Party to dominate Parliament Hill for about a decade and a half. Eventually the Progressive Conservatives and the Alliance merged to form the Conservative Party of Canada.

Will something like this happen in the US? Its possible, the so-called conservative vote is actually a mish mash of libertarians (who themselves are split between supporting Ron Paul-esc Republicans and actual Libertarian Party candidates) and the various flavors of conservatives (neo-cons, social cons, etc). Perhaps we could end up seeing "two Republican parties" based on geography where one of the two sides (libertarians or the cons) are dominant; for example the libertarians could end up controlling the GOP in the western US while the Bible-belt states are dominated by the conservatives. Though, in this situation, eventually compromises may have to be made on national platforms for Presidential elections, on things like social issues and subsidies towards favored industries (i.e. Defense spending, petroleum, etc). That could prove interesting.

If such a compromise can't be made, we could see the Republicans out of the White House for a period of time while holding one of the houses (though they themselves would be divided). Of course, the GOP could be split up like what the PC went through in Canada, and the two "right" blocs go at each other like they would against the Democratic Party. Or the GOP could simply go the way of the Whigs and you would see the Libertarians and some other conservative party go at it.

Posted by Johnny Venom on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 12:14 pm

that what has really died in the US is any semblance of a liberal or progressive party anyway. While the Dem's and the GOP emphasize their differences, what is really striking is that the US doesn't have a major left-wing party. It has two right-wing parties and one is a little more right-wing then the other.

There is nothing like the Labour and Socialist parties of France, England, Italy etc. over here.

So Angel's gloating over what he perceives to be the death of the GOP is missing the much larger point - that there continues to be no support for any party that is elft of center.

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 12:32 pm

It would not surprise me if what's befalling the Republicons hits the Democratic Party where progressives and others form an actual labor/progressive party. Even the left has a limit in patience.

Posted by Johnny Venom on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 4:54 pm

whether there will ever be enough of them to achieve a critical mass. It happened in Europe, but can it happen here?

Posted by Guest on Jun. 05, 2013 @ 5:00 pm

the Rebublican and Democratic parties are both owned and operated by the corporate oligarchs!

for an alternative, google the Justice Party!!!!!

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